For example, the new 1000-peso note (pictured above)
features a portrait of Ignacio Carrera Pinto,
a 19th-century war hero, on its face, but the back of the note shows
the granite pinnacles of Torres
del Paine. The notes don’t occupy much wallet space, as they’re only about
three-quarters the size of a dollar bill but, more interestingly, they have a
small transparent insert that duplicates the face on the front. Presumably this
is a security measure, to deter counterfeiting.
One of the pitfalls of guidebook research and publishing is
the unpredictability of exchange rates. In all my Moon
Handbooks, I use the US dollar as a baseline currency, because it’s so widely
accepted throughout the Southern Cone, but that has its drawbacks. When I researched
the third edition of Chile, three years ago, the peso traded at about 600 to
the dollar, even spiking up to 650, but for most of my recent two-months-plus
in the country, the rate hovered around 480. Despite Chile’s low inflation
rates, the country had grown significantly more expensive in dollar terms, and
the new edition – due out at year’s end - will reflect that.
Since I returned to California about three weeks ago,
though, the dollar has climbed above 500 once again, but that’s the rate I had
already decided to use as a baseline for the upcoming edition. Still, it
emphasizes the need to pay attention to exchange rates even if, in general, relative
prices stay the same. The most basic accommodations remain the cheapest, the
most elaborate restaurants the most expensive, and so it goes.
Relative prices remain the same in Argentina,
but the dynamics of the economy are less predictable. The official exchange
rate is barely creeping up, at around 4.5 to the dollar, but independent
economists calculate an annual inflation rate of roughly 25 percent, about
triple what the government admits. At the same time, foreign exchange controls
have contributed to a black market on which the dollar is trading at roughly
5.5 pesos.
That breach between the official and informal dollar, which
is regularly reported on the front page of Buenos
Aires newspapers, suggests the government’s measures – including the
deployment of 300 dollar-sniffing golden retrievers – have been less effective
than it had hoped. The state-run TV network Visión Siete is running an obvious propaganda spot (see below) that shows the dogs at work.
It’s also sent AFIP tax agents into the street to
apprehend the street changers known colloquially as arbolitos (so-called
because, like trees, they’re planted in one spot), but that’s had only minimal
effect in a country where outwitting officialdom is the national sport. Former
central bank president Martín Redrado,
fired by President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner in 2010, says the government’s restrictions are an unsustainable “dead-end street" (Redrado,
for what it’s worth, had been appointed by Fernández’s late husband, Néstor
Kirchner).
It’s risky, meanwhile, for foreigners to tread in the black
market. Unless you’re dealing with a trusted friend, changing dollars for pesos
is inadvisable. For the government, though, the best remaining alternative
might be importing Dutch boys to plug the dikes.
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